Fed rate decision, October 2026
3 outcomes listed by trade[XYZ]. Exactly one pays $1.
SUM OF ASKS143.00¢Buying every Yes
SUM OF BIDS—Selling every Yes
SUM OF FAIR100.00¢Close to 100¢ when priced well
BUY GAP-43.00¢100¢ minus the asks, before fees
SELL GAP—The bids minus 100¢, before fees
02 EVERY OUTCOME
Buying every Yes at the best asks costs 143.00¢, 43.00¢ over $1. Before fees, top of book only.
| OUTCOME | STATUS | BID | ASK | FAIR | 24H VOLUME | DEPTH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | OPEN | 55.0¢ | 98.0¢ | 92.4¢ 91–93 | $0 | $0 |
| Cut | OPEN | — | 25.0¢ | 0.30¢ 0.2–0.4 | $0 | $0 |
| Hike | OPEN | — | 20.0¢ | 7.3¢ 6–8 | $0 | $0 |
| Sum | — | 143.00¢ | 100.00¢ |
Fallback: “Other” wins if none of the listed outcomes does. It has no order book and isn't part of the set.