Fed rate decision, October 2026
3 outcomes listed by Outcome. Exactly one pays $1.
SUM OF ASKS100.90¢Buying every Yes
SUM OF BIDS96.20¢Selling every Yes
SUM OF FAIR100.00¢Close to 100¢ when priced well
BUY GAP-0.90¢100¢ minus the asks, before fees
SELL GAP-3.80¢The bids minus 100¢, before fees
02 EVERY OUTCOME
Buying every Yes at the best asks costs 100.90¢, 0.90¢ over $1; selling every Yes at the best bids brings 96.20¢. Before fees, top of book only.
| OUTCOME | STATUS | BID | ASK | FAIR | 24H VOLUME | DEPTH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | OPEN | 92.301¢ | 92.302¢ | 92.4¢ 91–93 | $156,674 | $2,722 |
| Cut | OPEN | 0.20¢ | 0.60¢ | 0.30¢ 0.2–0.4 | $2,070 | $9 |
| Hike | OPEN | 3.7¢ | 8.0¢ | 7.3¢ 6–8 | $2,165 | $81 |
| Sum | 96.20¢ | 100.90¢ | 100.00¢ |
Fallback: “Other” wins if none of the listed outcomes does. It has no order book and isn't part of the set.